Belgium Gambling Tax Reform Exposes Market Imbalance

Tax Rollback Proposal Gains Attention

A new proposal from Jean-Marie Dedecker has pushed the issue forward. He wants to restore a rule that allowed casinos to deduct regional taxes from federal income. That rule changed in late 2023 — raising the overall tax burden sharply. 

Now, some lawmakers argue the change may have gone too far. The proposal aims to support land-based casinos — and protect local jobs and income. However, industry groups say the impact reaches much further.

Industry Warns of Rising Pressure

The Belgian Association of Gaming Operators has taken a clear position. It says the current system puts licensed casinos under heavy strain. According to the group, total tax pressure can reach 65 to 70 percent. 

That level, it argues, may weaken the legal market over time. A simple concern drives the message — too much pressure may push users elsewhere. Illegal casinos remain active and often offer fewer restrictions.

Market Slowdown Raises Fresh Concerns

Recent figures suggest the market may already be slowing down. Belgium’s gambling revenue fell by 4.86 percent during 2024. Total revenue reached just over €1.61 billion — showing a clear drop. Both online and land-based segments recorded weaker performance. Several changes appear linked to this trend:

• Stricter advertising rules

• Ban on bonuses

• Higher minimum age limits

• Return of identity checks in betting shops

Court Ruling Adds to Fairness Debate

A recent decision by the Constitutional Court of Belgium added new pressure. The court found unequal treatment between state-backed and private offerings. It ruled that similar products must follow similar rules — regardless of operator. 

Lawmakers now have until the end of 2026 to correct this gap. This decision could reshape how the market works — and who benefits.

A Wider Issue Beyond Taxation

Beyond taxes, the debate now focuses on fairness and balance. Private casinos argue they face stricter rules than state-backed options. That gap, they say, creates an uneven market — and weakens competition. 

Over time, this imbalance may reduce trust in regulated options. Nevertheless, the core question remains simple — can the legal market stay strong? A stable and fair system may help keep users within regulated channels. Hence, the outcome of this debate could shape Belgium’s gambling market for years.